Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 35.47%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.18%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 0-1 (12.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
