Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 47.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 26.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.
