Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 47.51%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 24.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.88%) and 1-2 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
