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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 7, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio de Sao Miguel
SL

Santa Clara
3 - 2
Sporting Lisbon

Patric (30'), Lincoln (51'), Antonio (78')
Boateng (60'), Carvalho (62'), Mansur (75'), Costa (79'), Bouldini (88'), Pereira (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Palhinha (10'), Sarabia (50')
Reis (14'), Paulinho (17'), Esgaio (82')
Braganca (90+3')

We said: Santa Clara 0-3 Sporting Lisbon

Santa Clara continue to struggle for consistency in the Primeira Liga and find themselves languishing just above the drop zone. Sporting Lisbon head into Friday's game on a brilliant run of results against the hosts, and considering the level of strength and experience between the two sides, we anticipate Amorim's men will extend their dominance in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 65.44%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 14.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.04%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Santa ClaraDrawSporting Lisbon
14.14%20.42%65.44%
Both teams to score 47.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.37%46.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.1%68.9%
Santa Clara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.34%44.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.34%80.66%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.57%13.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.59%40.41%
Score Analysis
    Santa Clara 14.14%
    Sporting Lisbon 65.43%
    Draw 20.42%
Santa ClaraDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 4.84%
2-1 @ 3.91%
2-0 @ 1.95%
3-2 @ 1.06%
3-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 14.14%
1-1 @ 9.71%
0-0 @ 6%
2-2 @ 3.93%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 20.42%
0-2 @ 12.08%
0-1 @ 12.04%
1-2 @ 9.74%
0-3 @ 8.09%
1-3 @ 6.52%
0-4 @ 4.06%
1-4 @ 3.27%
2-3 @ 2.63%
0-5 @ 1.63%
2-4 @ 1.32%
1-5 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 65.43%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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