Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.