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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
Jul 14, 2020 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
VD

Benfica
2 - 0
Guimaraes

Chiquinho (37'), Seferovic (87')
Weigl (22'), Almeida (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 51.11%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 25.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
51.11%23.73%25.16%
Both teams to score 56.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.81%45.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.47%67.53%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.28%17.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.62%48.37%
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.14%31.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.7%68.3%
Score Analysis
    Benfica 51.11%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 25.16%
    Draw 23.72%
BenficaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 9.77%
2-1 @ 9.67%
2-0 @ 8.45%
3-1 @ 5.58%
3-0 @ 4.88%
3-2 @ 3.19%
4-1 @ 2.41%
4-0 @ 2.11%
4-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 51.11%
1-1 @ 11.17%
0-0 @ 5.64%
2-2 @ 5.53%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.72%
0-1 @ 6.46%
1-2 @ 6.39%
0-2 @ 3.69%
1-3 @ 2.44%
2-3 @ 2.11%
0-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 25.16%


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