Guimaraes
2 - 0
Setubal

Edwards (29'), Ouattara (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Jorge (52')
Leandrinho (70'), Guedes (90+2'), Silvio (90+5')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Vitoria de Setubal.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 59.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Vitoria de Setubal had a probability of 17.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Vitoria de Setubal win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Vitoria de Setubal
59.1%	23.2%	17.71%

Both teams to score 47.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.32%

51.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.54%

73.46%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.82%

17.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.56%

47.44%

Vitoria de Setubal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.05%

42.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.75%

79.25%

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 59.08%

Vitoria de Setubal 17.71%

Draw 23.19%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Vitoria de Setubal
1-0 @ 12.99% 2-0 @ 11.44% 2-1 @ 9.67% 3-0 @ 6.72% 3-1 @ 5.68% 4-0 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 2.4% 4-2 @ 1.06% 5-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.62% Total : 59.08%	1-1 @ 10.98% 0-0 @ 7.38% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.74% Total : 23.19%	0-1 @ 6.24% 1-2 @ 4.64% 0-2 @ 2.64% 1-3 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.74% Total : 17.71%