Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 36.85%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.