SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 67.04%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Sibenik had a probability of 12.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.56%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Sibenik win it was 0-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hajduk Split would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hajduk Split | Draw | Sibenik |
67.04% ( 0.51) | 20.01% ( -0.29) | 12.95% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 46.01% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.56% ( 0.74) | 47.44% ( -0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.34% ( 0.68) | 69.65% ( -0.69) |
| Hajduk Split Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.78% ( 0.38) | 13.21% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.04% ( 0.76) | 39.96% ( -0.77) |
| Sibenik Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.02% ( 0.11) | 46.98% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.53% ( 0.09) | 82.47% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hajduk Split | Draw | Sibenik |
| 2-0 @ 12.71% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 12.56% ( -0.21)2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.71% Total : 67.03% | 1-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.68% Total : 20.01% | 0-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.09% Total : 12.95% |
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