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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 7
Sep 21, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stadion Poljud

Hajduk Split
4 - 1
Gorica

Durdov (11', 55'), Livaja (71' pen.), Sigur (73')
Diallo (43')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kolar (5')
Ndockyt (55')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Hajduk Split and Gorica.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 0-1 Hajduk Split
Friday, September 13 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 0-1 Rijeka
Saturday, September 14 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 71.85%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 9.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.59%) and 3-0 (10.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Gorica win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hajduk Split would win this match.

Result
Hajduk SplitDrawGorica
71.85% (0.136 0.14) 18.33% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 9.82% (-0.1021 -0.1)
Both teams to score 41.13% (-0.247 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.7% (-0.126 -0.13)48.3% (0.122 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.55% (-0.115 -0.12)70.45% (0.111 0.11)
Hajduk Split Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.91%12.09% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.36% (0.0040000000000049 0)37.64% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Gorica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.79% (-0.284 -0.28)53.21% (0.279 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.22% (-0.181 -0.18)86.78% (0.176 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Hajduk Split 71.83%
    Gorica 9.82%
    Draw 18.33%
Hajduk SplitDrawGorica
2-0 @ 14.35% (0.07 0.07)
1-0 @ 13.59% (0.07 0.07)
3-0 @ 10.11% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.38% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 5.34% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.37% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.26% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.42% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 71.83%
1-1 @ 8.58% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.43% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 2.86% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 18.33%
0-1 @ 4.06% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 2.71% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.28% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 9.82%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 0-1 Hajduk Split
Friday, September 13 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 1-0 Osijek
Saturday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 1-1 Hajduk Split
Sunday, August 25 at 5.15pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 2-1 Varazdin
Sunday, August 18 at 5.50pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 0-1 Ruzomberok
Thursday, August 15 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 1-1 Hajduk Split
Sunday, August 11 at 5.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 0-1 Rijeka
Saturday, September 14 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 2-1 Sibenik
Friday, August 30 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 Gorica
Saturday, August 24 at 7.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 2-2 Osijek
Sunday, August 18 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 2-1 Gorica
Saturday, August 10 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 0-0 Varazdin
Saturday, August 3 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL


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