Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 71.85%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 9.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.59%) and 3-0 (10.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Gorica win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hajduk Split would win this match.
Result | ||
Hajduk Split | Draw | Gorica |
71.85% ( 0.14) | 18.33% ( -0.04) | 9.82% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 41.13% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.7% ( -0.13) | 48.3% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.55% ( -0.12) | 70.45% ( 0.11) |
Hajduk Split Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.91% | 12.09% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.36% ( 0) | 37.64% ( -0.01) |
Gorica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.79% ( -0.28) | 53.21% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.22% ( -0.18) | 86.78% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Hajduk Split | Draw | Gorica |
2-0 @ 14.35% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 13.59% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.42% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 71.83% | 1-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.46% Total : 18.33% | 0-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.78% Total : 9.82% |
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