SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 48.12%. A win for Osijek had a probability of 26.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Osijek win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hajduk Split in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hajduk Split | Draw | Osijek |
48.12% ( 0.07) | 25.65% ( 0.04) | 26.23% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 50.98% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.63% ( -0.26) | 52.37% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.94% ( -0.22) | 74.05% ( 0.22) |
| Hajduk Split Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.22% ( -0.08) | 21.77% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.03% ( -0.11) | 54.96% ( 0.11) |
| Osijek Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.17% ( -0.23) | 34.83% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.43% ( -0.24) | 71.56% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hajduk Split | Draw | Osijek |
| 1-0 @ 11.56% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 48.12% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 8% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.12% Total : 26.23% |
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