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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
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Osijek
1 - 0
Gorica

Caktas (29')
Caktas (42'), Brlek (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Osijek and Gorica.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osijek 3-2 Adana Demirspor
Thursday, August 17 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 0-0 Gorica
Saturday, August 5 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 54.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 20.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Gorica win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Osijek in this match.

Result
OsijekDrawGorica
54.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.26% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 20.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.14% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.2% (0.009999999999998 0.01)51.79% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.44% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)73.56% (-0.0089999999999861 -0.01)
Osijek Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.83% (0.0020000000000024 0)50.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Gorica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.49% (0.009999999999998 0.01)39.5% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.8% (0.009999999999998 0.01)76.19% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Osijek 54.89%
    Gorica 20.84%
    Draw 24.26%
OsijekDrawGorica
1-0 @ 12.4%
2-0 @ 10.37%
2-1 @ 9.64%
3-0 @ 5.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.38% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.42%
4-1 @ 2.25%
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 54.89%
1-1 @ 11.52%
0-0 @ 7.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 24.26%
0-1 @ 6.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 5.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.2%
1-3 @ 1.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 20.84%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Osijek 3-2 Adana Demirspor
Thursday, August 17 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Istra 1961 4-4 Osijek
Sunday, August 13 at 5.55pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 5-1 Osijek
Thursday, August 10 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Zalaegerszegi TE 1-2 Osijek
Thursday, August 3 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Rudes 3-4 Osijek
Sunday, July 30 at 5.45pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 1-0 Zalaegerszegi TE
Thursday, July 27 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 0-0 Gorica
Saturday, August 5 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 1-0 NK Lokomotiva
Saturday, July 29 at 5.45pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 1-1 Varazdin
Sunday, July 23 at 5.45pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 2-3 Panionios
Thursday, July 20 at 7.45pm in Europa League Qualifying
Last Game: Panionios 2-0 Gorica
Thursday, July 13 at 8pm in Europa League Qualifying
Last Game: Gorica 2-2 Shirak
Thursday, July 6 at 7.30pm in Europa League Qualifying


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