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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 4
Aug 13, 2023 at 5.55pm UK
Stadion Aldo Drosina

Istra 1961
4 - 4
Osijek

Majstorovic (28'), Nebyla (49'), Erceg (84'), Mkrtchyan (90+1' og.)
Erceg (11'), Coric (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mkrtchyan (22'), Caktas (48'), Lovric (58' pen.), Nejasmic (60')
Fiolic (39'), Evangelou (43'), Caktas (76'), Hiros (90+6')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Istra 1961 and Osijek.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rijeka 6-0 Istra 1961
Sunday, August 6 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 5-1 Osijek
Thursday, August 10 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest NK Istra 1961 win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
NK Istra 1961DrawOsijek
28.16% (-0.189 -0.19) 26.03% (0.145 0.15) 45.81% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Both teams to score 51.26% (-0.563 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.31% (-0.672 -0.67)52.69% (0.676 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.67% (-0.577 -0.58)74.33% (0.584 0.58)
NK Istra 1961 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.54% (-0.499 -0.5)33.46% (0.505 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.9% (-0.55 -0.55)70.1% (0.556 0.56)
Osijek Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.04% (-0.262 -0.26)22.96% (0.268 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.26% (-0.39 -0.39)56.74% (0.395 0.4)
Score Analysis
    NK Istra 1961 28.16%
    Osijek 45.81%
    Draw 26.03%
NK Istra 1961DrawOsijek
1-0 @ 8.41% (0.109 0.11)
2-1 @ 6.77% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-0 @ 4.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.47% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.82% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.68% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 28.16%
1-1 @ 12.37% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.68% (0.204 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.03%
0-1 @ 11.3% (0.21 0.21)
1-2 @ 9.11% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.32% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
1-3 @ 4.47% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 4.08% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.5% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 45.81%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Rijeka 6-0 Istra 1961
Sunday, August 6 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-3 Dinamo Zagreb
Saturday, July 29 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 1-1 Istra 1961
Sunday, July 23 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 5-1 Osijek
Thursday, August 10 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Zalaegerszegi TE 1-2 Osijek
Thursday, August 3 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Rudes 3-4 Osijek
Sunday, July 30 at 5.45pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 1-0 Zalaegerszegi TE
Thursday, July 27 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Osijek 6-1 Slaven Koprivnica
Saturday, July 22 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 6-1 Slaven Koprivnica
Saturday, July 22 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL


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