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Qatar Stars League | Gameweek 5
Sep 29, 2023 at 6pm UK
Al Thumama Stadium

Al Ahli
4 - 2
Al Mu'aidar

Al-Naimat (26'), Sliti (30'), Tihi (56'), Umaru (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Alibec (66'), Arias (68')
Elsadiq Elsidiq (19'), Arias (33'), Syahputra (83')
Coverage of the Qatar Stars League clash between Al Ahli and Al Mu'aidar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Umm Salal 3-1 Al Ahli
Saturday, September 23 at 6pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Al Mu'aidar 2-2 Al Shamal
Sunday, September 24 at 6pm in Qatar Stars League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Mu'aidar win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Al Ahli had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Mu'aidar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Al Ahli win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Al AhliDrawAl Mu'aidar
31.95% (0.766 0.77) 24.26% (-0.142 -0.14) 43.78% (-0.627 -0.63)
Both teams to score 59.19% (0.857 0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.71% (0.966 0.97)43.28% (-0.968 -0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.31% (0.945 0.95)65.68% (-0.947 -0.95)
Al Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.93% (0.95500000000001 0.96)26.06% (-0.957 -0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.89% (1.268 1.27)61.11% (-1.27 -1.27)
Al Mu'aidar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.06% (0.122 0.12)19.93% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.91% (0.199 0.2)52.08% (-0.201 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Al Ahli 31.95%
    Al Mu'aidar 43.78%
    Draw 24.25%
Al AhliDrawAl Mu'aidar
2-1 @ 7.58% (0.12 0.12)
1-0 @ 6.99% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-0 @ 4.7% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.4% (0.143 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.126 0.13)
3-0 @ 2.11% (0.081 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.077 0.08)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 31.95%
1-1 @ 11.26% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 6.11% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 5.2% (-0.224 -0.22)
3-3 @ 1.47% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.25%
1-2 @ 9.09% (-0.066999999999998 -0.07)
0-1 @ 8.38% (-0.328 -0.33)
0-2 @ 6.76% (-0.238 -0.24)
1-3 @ 4.88% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.63% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-3 @ 3.28% (0.077 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.97% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.46% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.32% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 3%
Total : 43.78%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Umm Salal 3-1 Al Ahli
Saturday, September 23 at 6pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Al Ahli 1-4 Al Gharafa
Friday, September 1 at 4.15pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Al-Sadd 4-2 Al Ahli
Saturday, August 26 at 6.30pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Al Ahli 1-2 Al-Duhail
Friday, August 18 at 4.30pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Al Mu'aidar 2-2 Al Shamal
Sunday, September 24 at 6pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Al Mu'aidar 5-2 Al Markhiya
Friday, September 1 at 6.15pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Al-Duhail 4-1 Al Mu'aidar
Friday, August 25 at 4.30pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Al Wakrah 3-0 Al Mu'aidar
Wednesday, August 16 at 4.30pm in Qatar Stars League


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