Qatar Stars League | Gameweek 3
Sep 1, 2023 at 4.15pm UK
Al Thumama Stadium
Sliti (14')
Al Sebai (4'), Jovovic (5'), Mohammed Al Sharshani (21'),
Doumbia (90+6'), Qadry (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Coverage of the Qatar Stars League clash between Al Ahli and Al Gharafa.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 53.14%. A win for Al Ahli had a probability of 24.37% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Gharafa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Al Ahli win was 2-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Gharafa would win this match.
| Result |
| Al Ahli | Draw | Al Gharafa |
24.37% ( 0.79) | 22.49% ( 0.21) | 53.14% ( -1) |
| Both teams to score 59.44% ( 0.22) |
| 59.67% ( -0.13) | 40.33% ( 0.13) |
| 37.3% ( -0.14) | 62.7% ( 0.14) |
| 70.12% ( 0.57) | 29.88% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.02% ( 0.69) | 65.98% ( -0.68) |
| 84.78% ( -0.38) | 15.22% ( 0.38) |
