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Qatar Stars League | Gameweek 4
Sep 23, 2023 at 6pm UK
Suheim Bin Hamad Stadium

Umm Salal
3 - 1
Al Ahli

Tannane (17', 65'), Louadni (37')
Al-Sulaimane (77'), Al-Shammari (90+9'), Delort (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sliti (73')
Mohammed Omar (51'), Al Sebai (55')
Coverage of the Qatar Stars League clash between Umm Salal and Al Ahli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Umm Salal 2-2 Qatar SC
Friday, September 1 at 6.15pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Al Ahli 1-4 Al Gharafa
Friday, September 1 at 4.15pm in Qatar Stars League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Umm Salal win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Al Ahli had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Umm Salal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Al Ahli win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Umm Salal would win this match.

Result
Umm SalalDrawAl Ahli
43.32% (0.199 0.2) 24.55% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02) 32.12% (-0.178 -0.18)
Both teams to score 58.23% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.42% (0.036999999999999 0.04)44.57% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.06% (0.036000000000001 0.04)66.94% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Umm Salal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.32% (0.105 0.11)20.67% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.73% (0.166 0.17)53.26% (-0.167 -0.17)
Al Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.41% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)26.59% (0.092000000000002 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.19% (-0.123 -0.12)61.81% (0.121 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Umm Salal 43.32%
    Al Ahli 32.12%
    Draw 24.55%
Umm SalalDrawAl Ahli
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.67% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.83% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.75% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.59% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 43.32%
1-1 @ 11.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.55%
1-2 @ 7.6% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.28% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.82% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 32.12%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Umm Salal 2-2 Qatar SC
Friday, September 1 at 6.15pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Al Arabi 1-1 Umm Salal
Sunday, August 27 at 4.30pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Umm Salal 1-3 Al-Sadd
Friday, August 18 at 6.30pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Al Ahli 1-4 Al Gharafa
Friday, September 1 at 4.15pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Al-Sadd 4-2 Al Ahli
Saturday, August 26 at 6.30pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Al Ahli 1-2 Al-Duhail
Friday, August 18 at 4.30pm in Qatar Stars League


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