Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterhead win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Aberdeen Under-21s had a probability of 18.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterhead win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.75%) and 0-1 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for an Aberdeen Under-21s win it was 2-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterhead would win this match.
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