Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.76%) and 0-2 (5.52%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Spartans in this match.
Result | ||
Peterhead | Draw | Spartans |
36.55% ( 0.23) | 23.48% ( 0.05) | 39.98% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 63.4% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.67% ( -0.23) | 38.33% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.38% ( -0.24) | 60.61% ( 0.23) |
Peterhead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.81% ( 0.01) | 21.19% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.93% ( 0.02) | 54.06% ( -0.03) |
Spartans Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.44% ( -0.23) | 19.55% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.53% ( -0.37) | 51.47% ( 0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Peterhead | Draw | Spartans |
2-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 36.55% | 1-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.47% | 1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.27% Total : 39.98% |
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