SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 71.95%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 10.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.84%) and 3-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Peterhead win it was 0-1 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Peterhead |
71.95% ( 0.07) | 17.31% ( 0.01) | 10.74% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 47.8% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.8% ( -0.34) | 41.19% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.41% ( -0.34) | 63.59% ( 0.34) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.89% ( -0.07) | 10.11% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.73% ( -0.16) | 33.27% ( 0.16) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.17% ( -0.39) | 46.83% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.64% ( -0.3) | 82.35% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | Peterhead |
| 2-0 @ 12.43% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 2.49% 5-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 3.33% Total : 71.94% | 1-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.77% Total : 17.31% | 0-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.76% Total : 10.74% |
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