SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Berwick win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for St Mirren Under-21s had a probability of 19.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Berwick win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.1%) and 1-0 (7.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a St Mirren Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Berwick | Draw | St Mirren Under-21s |
60.58% ( 4.91) | 19.81% ( -0.52) | 19.61% ( -4.38) |
| Both teams to score 62.17% ( -4.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.32% ( -3.36) | 33.68% ( 3.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.5% ( -3.93) | 55.5% ( 3.93) |
| Berwick Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.14% ( 0.24) | 10.86% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.04% ( 0.53) | 34.96% ( -0.52) |
| St Mirren Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.74% ( -5.58) | 30.27% ( 5.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.56% ( -7.23) | 66.44% ( 7.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Berwick | Draw | St Mirren Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.42) 2-0 @ 8.1% ( 1.48)1-0 @ 7.3% ( 1.28)3-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.38)3-0 @ 6% ( 1.15)3-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.47)4-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.25)4-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.66)4-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.23)5-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.13)5-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.31)5-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.09)4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.27)Other @ 3.13% Total : 60.58% | 1-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.69)0-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.55)3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.51)Other @ 0.32% Total : 19.81% | 1-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.68) 0-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.33)2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.72)1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.67)0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.32)Other @ 2.81% Total : 19.61% |
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