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Scottish Challenge Cup | First Round
Aug 1, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
AR

St Mirren U21s
2 - 2
Albion Rovers

Albion Rovers win 4-2 on penalties
Turner (51'), Sutherland (90')
Foster (90+1')
FT
(aet)
Joseph (27'), Fagan (41')
Prince (50')
Prince (88')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup First Round clash between St Mirren Under-21s and Albion Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: St Mirren U21s 0-0 East Stirling (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Albion Rovers 1-2 Kilmarnock
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Bonnyrigg Rose0nan
2Clyde0nan
3Dumbarton0nan
4East Fife0nan
5Elgin0nan
6Forfar0nan
7Peterhead0nan
8Spartans0nan
9Stenhousemuir0nan
10Stranraer0nan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albion Rovers win with a probability of 53.72%. A win for St Mirren Under-21s had a probability of 23.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albion Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest St Mirren Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
St Mirren Under-21sDrawAlbion Rovers
23.5% (-0.122 -0.12) 22.77% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 53.72% (0.128 0.13)
Both teams to score 57.42% (-0.146 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.46% (-0.124 -0.12)42.53% (0.126 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.06% (-0.124 -0.12)64.94% (0.126 0.13)
St Mirren Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.19% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)31.8% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.76% (-0.198 -0.2)68.24% (0.20099999999999 0.2)
Albion Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.19%15.8% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.04% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)44.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren Under-21s 23.5%
    Albion Rovers 53.72%
    Draw 22.77%
St Mirren Under-21sDrawAlbion Rovers
2-1 @ 6.09% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.76% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 3.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.32% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.26% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 23.5%
1-1 @ 10.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.03% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.77%
1-2 @ 9.8% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.27% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 8.55% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-3 @ 6.03% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 5.26% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.45% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 2.43% (0.013 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.59% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.03% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 53.72%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: St Mirren U21s 0-0 East Stirling (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Albion Rovers 6-0 St Mirren U21s
Saturday, September 4 at 1.30pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: St Mirren U21s 1-1 Kelty Hearts (3-0 pen.)
Tuesday, August 10 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Albion Rovers 1-2 Kilmarnock
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Albion Rovers 0-3 Dunfermline
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Annan 1-2 Albion Rovers
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Raith Rovers 2-0 Albion Rovers
Tuesday, July 18 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Albion Rovers 2-0 Stirling
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: East Fife 2-1 Albion Rovers
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Scottish League Two


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