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Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 24, 2022 at 2pm UK
Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
BC

Inverness
3 - 3
Brechin

Inverness win 4-3 on penalties
Oakley (6', 47' pen.), Shaw (38', 38')
Strachan (27')
FT
(aet)
McHattie (28'), McGrath (72'), Spark (78')
McArthur (13'), Scott (55'), Loudon (84')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Inverness Caledonian Thistle and Brechin City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dundee 2-3 Inverness
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Brechin 1-1 Stirling (5-4 pen.)
Wednesday, August 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Dumbarton172.13Byrne
2Elgin131.86Hester
3Stenhousemuir131.63O'Reilly
4Stirling121.71Carrick
5Stranraer121.50Woods
6East Fife101.25Shepherd
7Annan91.29Goss
8Bonnyrigg Rose81.14Smith
9Forfar81.14Aitken
10Albion Rovers60.86Reilly

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 55.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Brechin City had a probability of 21.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Brechin City win it was 0-1 (6.21%).

Result
Inverness Caledonian ThistleDrawBrechin City
55.47% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 23.27%21.26% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.78% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.74% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)47.26% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.51% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)69.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.12% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)16.88% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.09% (0.00099999999999767 0)46.91% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Brechin City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.5% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)36.5% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.71% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)73.28% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 55.47%
    Brechin City 21.26%
    Draw 23.26%
Inverness Caledonian ThistleDrawBrechin City
1-0 @ 10.96% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.83%
2-0 @ 9.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.83%
3-0 @ 5.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.59%
4-0 @ 2.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 0.92%
5-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 55.47%
1-1 @ 11.04%
0-0 @ 6.16% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.95% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.26%
0-1 @ 6.21%
1-2 @ 5.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.13% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 1.87% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 21.26%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Dundee 2-3 Inverness
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Raith Rovers 0-2 Inverness
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Motherwell 4-0 Inverness
Wednesday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Inverness 0-1 Morton
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Partick 4-1 Inverness
Friday, August 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Inverness 4-1 Cove Rangers
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Brechin 1-1 Stirling (5-4 pen.)
Wednesday, August 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Hibernian U21s 1-1 Brechin (1-4 pen.)
Wednesday, August 10 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Brechin 1-3 Buckie Thistle
Wednesday, August 11 at 8pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Brechin 1-0 Alloa
Tuesday, July 20 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Cowdenbeath 3-2 Brechin
Saturday, July 17 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Raith Rovers 4-0 Brechin
Tuesday, July 13 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup


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