SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Hamilton Academical | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 7 | Raith Rovers | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 8 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Raith Rovers | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 8 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | Cove Rangers | 5 | -4 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 50.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 23.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
50.34% ( 0.44) | 26.11% ( -0.25) | 23.55% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 47.13% ( 0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.86% ( 0.76) | 56.14% ( -0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.79% ( 0.61) | 77.2% ( -0.62) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.63% ( 0.52) | 22.37% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.13% ( 0.77) | 55.86% ( -0.77) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.71% ( 0.26) | 39.29% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.01% ( 0.24) | 75.99% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 13.16% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.9% Total : 50.34% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.79% ( -0.26)2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 5.74% 0-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.44% Total : 23.55% |
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