Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 46.7%. A win for Kilmarnock II had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Kilmarnock II win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
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