SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 73.13%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Kilmarnock II had a probability of 10.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 3-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Kilmarnock II win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Kilmarnock II |
73.13% ( -0.06) | 16.22% ( 0.04) | 10.65% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.59% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.86% ( -0.09) | 36.13% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.75% ( -0.1) | 58.24% ( 0.1) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.45% ( -0.03) | 8.54% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.44% ( -0.09) | 29.56% ( 0.09) |
| Kilmarnock II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.41% ( -0.01) | 43.59% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.21% ( -0.01) | 79.78% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Kilmarnock II |
| 2-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 73.12% | 1-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.89% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.01% Total : 16.22% | 1-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.04% Total : 10.65% |
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