SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers Under-21s win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.76%) and 1-0 (5.51%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rangers Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rangers Under-21s | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
46.75% ( 1.52) | 21.64% ( -0.17) | 31.61% ( -1.34) |
| Both teams to score 68.82% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.39% ( 0.27) | 30.61% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.08% ( 0.32) | 51.92% ( -0.32) |
| Rangers Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.16% ( 0.61) | 13.83% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.8% ( 1.2) | 41.2% ( -1.2) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.87% ( -0.56) | 20.13% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.61% ( -0.91) | 52.39% ( 0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rangers Under-21s | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.19)1-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.16)4-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.13)4-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.09)5-2 @ 0.9% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.95% Total : 46.75% | 1-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 7% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 2.47% ( -0)Other @ 0.56% Total : 21.64% | 1-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.06)3-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.06% Total : 31.61% |
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