SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
42.08% ( -0.69) | 25.63% ( 0.4) | 32.29% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 54.63% ( -1.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.7% ( -1.64) | 49.3% ( 1.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.65% ( -1.5) | 71.35% ( 1.5) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.72% ( -1.04) | 23.28% ( 1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.79% ( -1.54) | 57.21% ( 1.54) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.2% ( -0.63) | 28.8% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.35% ( -0.79) | 64.65% ( 0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.06% Total : 42.08% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.44)2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.61% Total : 32.29% |
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