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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Cove Rangers |
34.72% ( 0.12) | 25.95% ( 0.02) | 39.33% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 54.23% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.9% ( -0.04) | 50.1% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.93% ( -0.04) | 72.07% ( 0.04) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.34% ( 0.05) | 27.66% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.79% ( 0.06) | 63.21% ( -0.06) |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.96% ( -0.09) | 25.04% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.29% ( -0.12) | 59.71% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.9% Total : 34.72% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 39.33% |
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