Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitatea Craiova win with a probability of 48.73%. A win for Rapid Bucuresti had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universitatea Craiova win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Rapid Bucuresti win was 0-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
-0.05) 
0.01) 
