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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitatea Craiova win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Maribor had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universitatea Craiova win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Maribor win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universitatea Craiova would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Universitatea Craiova | Draw | Maribor |
42.74% ( 0.11) | 24.64% ( -0.01) | 32.61% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 58.12% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.19% ( 0.01) | 44.81% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.83% ( 0.01) | 67.17% ( -0.01) |
| Universitatea Craiova Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.96% ( 0.06) | 21.04% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.17% ( 0.09) | 53.83% ( -0.09) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.6% ( -0.06) | 26.4% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.44% ( -0.08) | 61.55% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Universitatea Craiova | Draw | Maribor |
| 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 42.74% | 1-1 @ 11.53% 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.64% | 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.22% Total : 32.61% |
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