Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitatea Craiova win with a probability of 57.93%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for SCM Gloria Buzau had a probability of 18.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universitatea Craiova win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a SCM Gloria Buzau win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universitatea Craiova would win this match.