Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hermannstadt win with a probability of 36.92%. A win for Universitatea Craiova had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hermannstadt win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Universitatea Craiova win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hermannstadt would win this match.