Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitatea Craiova win with a probability of 62.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Petrolul 52 had a probability of 14.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universitatea Craiova win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.13%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Petrolul 52 win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
-0.04) 
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