Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitatea Craiova win with a probability of 49.03%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for UTA Arad had a probability of 23.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universitatea Craiova win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a UTA Arad win it was 0-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universitatea Craiova would win this match.
0.42) 
-0.28) 
