Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 55.96%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 19.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Khimki win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.
