Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Ufa win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Khimki had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Ufa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Khimki win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Ufa would win this match.
