Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Ufa win with a probability of 49.02%. A win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 25.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Ufa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Ural Yekaterinburg win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.