Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 48.64%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for FC Ufa had a probability of 23.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a FC Ufa win it was 0-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.