Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2023 at 4pm UK
Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sakala (87' pen.)
Al-Rashidi (61')
We said: Abha 1-1 Al Fayha
Abha and Al Fayha were two of the most evenly-matched sides in the Saudi Pro League last season, finishing on the same points total.
As such, we think the spoils will be shared on Monday evening, with Al Fahya extending their unbeaten run to four games.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Fayha win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Abha had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Fayha win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Abha win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result |
Abha | Draw | Al Fayha |
30.31% ( -0.09) | 26.74% ( 0.01) | 42.95% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 50.32% ( -0.07) |
45.52% ( -0.08) | 54.48% ( 0.08) |
24.16% ( -0.06) | 75.84% ( 0.07) |
67.21% ( -0.1) | 32.79% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.65% ( -0.11) | 69.35% ( 0.12) |
74.87% ( 0) | 25.13% ( -0) |