Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2023 at 4pm UK
Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium
We said: Abha 0-2 Al-Hilal
The hosts are coming off the back of a poor season, and their preseason friendly against Sepahan did little to inspire much confidence for their chances in this match. With several big-name players arriving over the summer for the visitors, we expect that they will get the season started with a win and a clean sheet in this one.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 60.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Abha had a probability of 17.74%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for an Abha win it was 1-0 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
| Result |
| Abha | Draw | Al-Hilal |
17.74% ( -0.05) | 22.06% ( 0.04) | 60.2% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.73% ( -0.22) |
| 52.95% ( -0.23) | 47.05% ( 0.24) |
| 30.71% ( -0.22) | 69.29% ( 0.22) |
| 59.82% ( -0.2) | 40.18% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.18% ( -0.19) | 76.82% ( 0.19) |
| 84.8% ( -0.07) | 15.2% ( 0.07) |
