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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 3
Aug 25, 2023 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sport City Stadium

Al-Taawoun
1 - 0
Abha

Mateus (85')
Zayed Al-Ghamdi (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bin Jumayah (45+1'), Tatarusanu (84'), Al Hbeab (90+8')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Nassr 0-2 Al-Taawoun
Friday, August 18 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Abha 1-0 Al Raed
Saturday, August 19 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Taawoun 2-1 Abha

Fresh off the back of picking up their first win of the season, Al-Taawoun and Abha will head into the weekend looking to pick up where they dropped off. Abha's form away from home makes Chamusca's men firm favourites in this one and we are backing the Wolves to end their winless run in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Taawoun win with a probability of 58.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Abha had a probability of 20.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Taawoun win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 1-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for an Abha win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Taawoun would win this match.

Result
Al-TaawounDrawAbha
58.59% (0.911 0.91) 21.23% (-0.407 -0.41) 20.17% (-0.499 -0.5)
Both teams to score 57.93% (0.614 0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.36% (1.186 1.19)39.63% (-1.183 -1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.01% (1.225 1.23)61.98% (-1.221 -1.22)
Al-Taawoun Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.73% (0.66500000000001 0.67)13.26% (-0.66 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.94% (1.324 1.32)40.05% (-1.32 -1.32)
Abha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.78% (0.19800000000001 0.2)33.21% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.18% (0.218 0.22)69.82% (-0.21400000000001 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Al-Taawoun 58.59%
    Abha 20.17%
    Draw 21.23%
Al-TaawounDrawAbha
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 8.99% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-0 @ 8.9% (-0.272 -0.27)
3-1 @ 6.67% (0.158 0.16)
3-0 @ 6.05% (0.112 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.68% (0.106 0.11)
4-1 @ 3.37% (0.159 0.16)
4-0 @ 3.06% (0.129 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.86% (0.097 0.1)
5-1 @ 1.36% (0.096 0.1)
5-0 @ 1.24% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 58.59%
1-1 @ 9.81% (-0.242 -0.24)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.027 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.4% (-0.247 -0.25)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.23%
1-2 @ 5.41% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-1 @ 4.86% (-0.245 -0.24)
0-2 @ 2.68% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 20.17%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Al-Nassr 0-2 Al-Taawoun
Friday, August 18 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Fateh 1-1 Al-Taawoun
Sunday, August 13 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Pakhtakor 5-4 Al-Taawoun
Tuesday, April 26 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Taawoun 3-4 Al-Duhail
Friday, April 22 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Sepahan 1-1 Al-Taawoun
Monday, April 18 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Taawoun 3-0 Sepahan
Thursday, April 14 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Abha 1-0 Al Raed
Saturday, August 19 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Abha 1-3 Al-Hilal
Monday, August 14 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League


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