Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 2
Aug 18, 2023 at 4pm UK
Najran Sport City Center
FT(HT: 1-2)
Batna (36'),
Tello (45+2' pen., 90+2')
Al Yousif (45+7')
We said: Al Okhdood 1-1 Al Fateh
Al Okhdood proved their worthiness of being at this level by claiming an impressive point away to Al Shabab on the opening matchday, and we can envisage them doing the same against Al Fateh on Friday.
There is little doubt that the visitors possess more pedigree in terms of their playing and coaching staff, but the hosts will be desperate to avoid defeat in their first home game of the season following their promotion.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Fateh win with a probability of 43.76%. A win for Al Okhdood had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Fateh win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Al Okhdood win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Fateh would win this match.
| Result |
| Al Okhdood | Draw | Al Fateh |
29.75% ( 0.17) | 26.49% ( 0.09) | 43.76% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 50.78% ( -0.2) |
| 46.24% ( -0.29) | 53.76% ( 0.29) |
| 24.76% ( -0.25) | 75.23% ( 0.25) |
| 67.17% ( -0.03) | 32.82% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.61% ( -0.03) | 69.39% ( 0.03) |
| 75.59% ( -0.26) | 24.4% ( 0.26) |
