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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2023 at 7pm UK
Al Khaleej Club Stadium

Al Khaleej
1 - 3
Al-Ahli

Hamzi (58')
Woo-young (6'), Rodrigues (53')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ibanez (9'), Mahrez (45+1'), Alnabit (90+11')
Ibanez (70'), Al-Majhad (72'), Al-Ali (90+6'), Al Ali (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Fayha 3-1 Al Khaleej
Saturday, August 12 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 3-1 Al Hazem
Friday, August 11 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Khaleej 0-2 Al-Ahli

Al Khaleej look destined to struggle against the attacking firepower of Al-Ahli, who are expected to cruise to a comfortable victory on Thursday, with the likes of Firmino, Mahrez and Saint-Maximin set to wreak havoc on the hosts' backline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 53.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Al Khaleej had a probability of 21.71%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.32%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for an Al Khaleej win it was 1-0 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.

Result
Al KhaleejDrawAl-Ahli
21.71% (0.261 0.26) 25.19% (-0.163 -0.16) 53.1% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 47.63% (0.78100000000001 0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.6% (0.863 0.86)54.4% (-0.863 -0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.22% (0.712 0.71)75.77% (-0.71299999999999 -0.71)
Al Khaleej Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.9% (0.757 0.76)40.1% (-0.75700000000001 -0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.26% (0.686 0.69)76.74% (-0.687 -0.69)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.51% (0.304 0.3)20.49% (-0.303 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.03% (0.483 0.48)52.97% (-0.483 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Al Khaleej 21.71%
    Al-Ahli 53.09%
    Draw 25.19%
Al KhaleejDrawAl-Ahli
1-0 @ 7.51% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-1 @ 5.44% (0.093 0.09)
2-0 @ 3.43% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.66% (0.061 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.31% (0.061 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.05% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 21.71%
1-1 @ 11.9% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.22% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-2 @ 4.31% (0.114 0.11)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 13.02% (-0.32 -0.32)
0-2 @ 10.32% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-2 @ 9.43% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
0-3 @ 5.46% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.99% (0.076 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.081 0.08)
0-4 @ 2.16% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.98% (0.048 0.05)
2-4 @ 0.9% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 53.09%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Al Fayha 3-1 Al Khaleej
Saturday, August 12 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 3-1 Al Hazem
Friday, August 11 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Duhail 1-1 Al-Ahli
Friday, April 30 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 0-0 Esteghlal
Tuesday, April 27 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 2-1 Al-Shorta
Saturday, April 24 at 6.45pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Shorta 0-3 Al-Ahli
Wednesday, April 21 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 1-1 Al-Duhail
Sunday, April 18 at 6.45pm in AFC Champions League


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