SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Fateh win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Al Raed had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Fateh win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Al Raed win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Raed | Draw | Al Fateh |
31.25% ( -0.17) | 25.63% ( 0.15) | 43.11% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.22% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.36% ( -0.69) | 49.64% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.34% ( -0.62) | 71.66% ( 0.62) |
| Al Raed Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.34% ( -0.46) | 29.65% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.29% ( -0.56) | 65.7% ( 0.56) |
| Al Fateh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.08% ( -0.29) | 22.92% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.31% ( -0.43) | 56.68% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Raed | Draw | Al Fateh |
| 1-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.42% Total : 31.25% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.97% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 4.4% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.12% Total : 43.11% |
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