SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Fateh win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Al Raed had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Fateh win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Al Raed win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Fateh would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Fateh | Draw | Al Raed |
44.27% ( 0.63) | 23.89% ( -0.14) | 31.84% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 60.47% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.41% ( 0.45) | 41.59% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36% ( 0.45) | 63.99% ( -0.45) |
| Al Fateh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.96% ( 0.45) | 19.04% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.38% ( 0.74) | 50.62% ( -0.74) |
| Al Raed Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.69% ( -0.08) | 25.31% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.91% ( -0.11) | 60.09% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Fateh | Draw | Al Raed |
| 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.33% Total : 44.27% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.89% | 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 31.84% |
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