SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 51.08%. A win for Al Fateh had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.63%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Al Fateh win was 2-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Fateh | Draw | Al-Ahli |
26.55% ( -0.2) | 22.36% ( 0.22) | 51.08% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 62.22% ( -1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.32% ( -1.24) | 37.68% ( 1.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.08% ( -1.34) | 59.92% ( 1.34) |
| Al Fateh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.18% ( -0.79) | 26.82% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.89% ( -1.05) | 62.11% ( 1.06) |
| Al-Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.02% ( -0.45) | 14.97% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.59% ( -0.85) | 43.41% ( 0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Fateh | Draw | Al-Ahli |
| 2-1 @ 6.6% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.15% Total : 26.55% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.36% | 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.33)0-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 6.03% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 4.58% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 2.86% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.09)1-5 @ 1.09% ( -0.05)Other @ 4.1% Total : 51.08% |
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