SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Damac win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Damac win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Al Riyadh win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Damac | Draw | Al Riyadh |
44.04% ( 0.43) | 26.45% ( -0.05) | 29.51% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 50.8% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.32% ( 0.04) | 53.68% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.83% ( 0.03) | 75.17% ( -0.03) |
| Damac Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.77% ( 0.23) | 24.23% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.42% ( 0.32) | 58.58% ( -0.32) |
| Al Riyadh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.04% ( -0.26) | 32.96% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.46% ( -0.29) | 69.54% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Damac | Draw | Al Riyadh |
| 1-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.62% Total : 44.04% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.51% |
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