SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 70.09%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Damac had a probability of 11.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a Damac win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Ahli | Draw | Damac |
70.09% ( 0.05) | 18.2% ( -0.03) | 11.7% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.06% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.38% ( 0.05) | 42.61% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.98% ( 0.05) | 65.02% ( -0.06) |
| Al-Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.03% ( 0.03) | 10.96% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.8% ( 0.06) | 35.2% ( -0.06) |
| Damac Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.98% ( -0) | 46.01% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.26% ( -0) | 81.73% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Ahli | Draw | Damac |
| 2-0 @ 12.32% 1-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0)3-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0)Other @ 3.81% Total : 70.09% | 1-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.71% ( -0)Other @ 0.79% Total : 18.2% | 0-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.52% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.95% Total : 11.7% |
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