Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 4
Sep 20, 2024 at 4.55pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fallatah (45+9'),
Chafai (66')
Fallatah (88'), Alkhaibari (90+5')
Coverage of the Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Damac.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 70.09%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Damac had a probability of 11.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a Damac win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.
| Result |
| Al-Ahli | Draw | Damac |
70.09% ( 0.05) | 18.2% ( -0.03) | 11.7% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.06% ( 0.01) |
| 57.38% ( 0.05) | 42.61% ( -0.06) |
| 34.98% ( 0.05) | 65.02% ( -0.06) |
| 89.03% ( 0.03) | 10.96% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.8% ( 0.06) | 35.2% ( -0.06) |
| 53.98% ( -0) | 46.01% ( 0) |
