SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 59.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.95%) and 0-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for an Al Riyadh win it was 1-0 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Al Ittihad in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Al Ittihad.
| Result | ||
| Al Riyadh | Draw | Al Ittihad |
19.2% ( 0.05) | 21.62% ( 0.01) | 59.18% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.9% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.16% ( 0.04) | 42.84% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.75% ( 0.03) | 65.24% ( -0.04) |
| Al Riyadh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.93% ( 0.07) | 36.07% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.15% ( 0.07) | 72.85% ( -0.07) |
| Al Ittihad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.87% ( -0.01) | 14.13% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.22% ( -0.01) | 41.78% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Riyadh | Draw | Al Ittihad |
| 1-0 @ 5.2% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.65% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 1.79% Total : 19.2% | 1-1 @ 10.16% 0-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.61% | 0-1 @ 9.97% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-2 @ 9.76% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 6.49% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.37% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.18% ( -0)0-4 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.24% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 2.96% Total : 59.18% |
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