SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 55.12%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 23.63% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.48%) and 1-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 55.12% | 21.24% | 23.63% |
| Both teams to score 63.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.81% | 35.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.79% | 57.2% |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.16% | 12.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.8% | 39.2% |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.34% | 27.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.79% | 63.21% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% 2-0 @ 7.48% 1-0 @ 7.29% 3-1 @ 6.58% 3-0 @ 5.12% 3-2 @ 4.23% 4-1 @ 3.38% 4-0 @ 2.63% 4-2 @ 2.17% 5-1 @ 1.39% 5-0 @ 1.08% 4-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.24% Total : 55.12% | 1-1 @ 9.37% 2-2 @ 6.18% 0-0 @ 3.55% 3-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.24% | 1-2 @ 6.02% 0-1 @ 4.57% 0-2 @ 2.93% 2-3 @ 2.65% 1-3 @ 2.58% 0-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.63% Total : 23.64% |
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