Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 55.12%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 23.63% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.48%) and 1-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.
